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《Journal of East China Normal University(Humanities and Social Sciences)》 2014-02
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Industrial Structure Low-Carbon Optimization under Double Targets in Chinese Industrial Sectors: To Achieve Emission Reduction Target of 2020

ZHANG Yun;DENG Gui-feng;  
China faces dual pressure of carbon emission reduction from international climate negotiations and domestic economy transformation,and Chinese government has announced the specific quantitative targets in 2020. This paper constructs an industrial model with double targets to analyze the results about industrial output and employment maximization with constraint conditions including emission intensity,water resource,employment,upper and lower bounds of output value and nonnegative constraint. The result confirms that industrial structure low-carbonization is an effective way to achieve the emission reduction target. The simulation results after adjusting the parameters confirm that output increase can help achieve emission reduction target of2020 under certain condition. Therefore,China needs to keep industrial growth and try industrial structure low-carbon optimization in the transformation period of economic development pattern,and strictly controlling the growth rate of highly polluting industries is the breakthrough point.
【Fund】: 教育部人文社會科學研究基金青年項目(11YJC790289);; 央財國際貿易重點學科帶頭人培養計劃;; 上海市教育委員會科研創新項目(12YS147)的階段性研究成果
【CateGory Index】: F124.5;F121.3
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